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Republicans won the redistricting battle. Now voters will decide whether they win Congress

AP News World·🕐 1 sa önce·👁 2 görüntülenme
Republicans won the redistricting battle. Now voters will decide whether they win Congress
Vote signs are seen outside a vote center in La Habra, Calif., Tuesday, June 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong) 2026-06-03T16:49:47Z A no-holds-barred bout of partisan redistricting has been won by Republicans. Now it’s up to voters to decide whether it matters for control of Congress. Republicans could net about 10 additional U.S. House seats in the November elections if redrawn voting districts perform as they were intended. The question is whether that’s enough for the GOP to hold on to a majority in the chamber, where Democrats need to gain only a few seats to take control. Political trends and historic patterns favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s approval ratings are negative. And the incumbent’s party has lost House seats in every midterm election over the past two decades. This election season already has been unusual. Voting districts typically are redrawn only after a census at the start of each decade. But Trump urged Republicans last summer to redraw congressional districts to their advantage to try to prevent losses in the 2026 midterms. Since then, Republicans think they could win as many as 16 additional seats from new House maps enacted in eight states — Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, Tennessee, Louisiana and Alabama. Democrats, whose counterattack faced several setbacks, think they could win up to six additional seats from new districts in California and Utah. Nearly 145 million people — about two of every five U.S. residents — live in states with new congressional districts for this election. /* Desktop-first: fully collapse by default */ #ap-readmore-embed { display: none; margin: 0; padding: 0; height: 0; min-height: 0; overflow: hidden; text-align: center; position: relative; z-index: 2; } /* Only show on mobile */ @media (max-width: 767px) { #ap-readmore-embed { display: block; margin: 28px 0; height: auto; overflow: visible; } } #ap-readmore-embed .ap-readmore-btn { appearance: none; -webkit-appearance: none; border: 0; background: #000; color: #fff; cursor: pointer; display: inline-flex; align-items: center; justify-content: center; gap: 10px; padding: 14px 22px; border-radius: 999px; font-family: inherit, "AP Sans", -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-weight: 700; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.2px; line-height: 1; box-shadow: 0 10px 18px rgba(0,0,0,0.12); transition: transform 120ms ease, box-shadow 120ms ease, opacity 120ms ease; 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var root = rootCandidates.find(function (c) { return c.contains(stopEl); }) || document.body; var all = root.getElementsByTagName("*"); var hidden = []; for (var i = 0; i Yet the mid-decade redistricting battle didn’t go as far as it could have. Republicans in Kansas and Democrats in Illinois both rebuffed party pushes to take up redistricting. In Republican-led Indiana and South Carolina and Democratic-led Maryland, new congressional districts passed the state House but ultimately died in the state Senate. The Virginia Supreme Court invalidated new voter-approved districts that could have helped Democrats win up to four additional seats. And the U.S. Supreme Court set aside a lower court order that could have helped Democrats gain a congressional seat in New York. Here’s a look at the states with new U.S. House maps: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(e){if(void 0!==e.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.querySelectorAll("iframe");for(var a in e.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var r=0;r Texas Current map: 13 Democrats, 25 Republicans New map: Republican Gov. Greg Abbott signed a revised House map into law last August that could help Republicans win five additional seats. Democrats think they could still win some of those seats. Missouri Current map: two Democrats, six Republicans New map: Republican Gov. Mike Kehoe signed a revised House map into law last September that could help Republicans win an additional seat by reshaping a Democratic-held district based in Kansas City. Republican Secretary of State Denny Hoskins has until Aug. 4 — the date of Missouri’s primaries — to decide whether to reject an initiative petition seeking a statewide vote on the map. North Carolina Current map: four Democrats, 10 Republicans New map: The Republican-led General Assembly gave final approval in October to revised districts that could help Republicans win an additional seat. Ohio Current map: five Democrats, 10 Republicans New map: A bipartisan panel composed primarily of Republicans voted in October to approve revised House districts that improve Republicans’ chances of winning two additional seats. Democrats think they could still win those seats. California Current map: 43 Democrats, nine Republicans New map: Voters in November approved revised House districts drawn by the Democratic-led Legislature that could help Democrats win five additional seats. Utah Current map: no Democrats, four Republicans New map: A judge in November imposed revised House districts that could help Democrats win a seat in the Salt Lake City area. Florida Current map: eight Democrats, 20 Republicans New map: Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis signed revised House districts in May that improve the GOP’s chances of winning four additional seats. Legal challenges are pending. Tennessee Current map: one Democrat, eight Republicans New map: Republican Gov. Bill Lee signed new House districts in May that improve the GOP’s chances of winning an additional seat by carving up the lone Democratic-held seat, a majority-Black district based in Memphis. Legal challenges are pending. Louisiana Current map: two Democrats, four Republicans New map: Republican Gov. Jeff Landry signed off on new House districts in May that improve Republican chances of winning an additional seat by eliminating a majority-Black district held by a Democrat that the U.S. Supreme Court struck down as an illegal racial gerrymander. Alabama Current map: two Democrats, five Republicans New map: The U.S. Supreme Court in June allowed the state to use a congressional map approved by Republican state lawmakers that improves the GOP’s chances of winning an additional seat by reshaping a Democratic-held district that has a large number of Black voters. DAVID A. LIEB Lieb covers issues and trends in state governments across the U.S. He’s reported about government and politics for The Associated Press for 30 years. twitter mailto

Vote signs are seen outside a vote center in La Habra, Calif., Tuesday, June 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)A sign stands outside a polling location during local and primary runoff elections, Tuesday, May 26, 2026, in Dallas, where election materials and voting information are available in English, Spanish and Vietnamese. (AP Photo/Gabriela Passos)Rep. Justin J. Pearson, D-Memphis, center, marches with protesters before a special session of the state legislature to redraw U.S. Congressional voting maps, in Nashville, Tenn., Tuesday, May 5, 2026. (AP Photo/George Walker IV)Protesters against a Missouri congressional redistricting plan gather outside the Missouri Capitol on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, in Jefferson City, Mo. (AP Photo/David A. Lieb)Vote signs are seen outside a vote center in La Habra, Calif., Tuesday, June 2, 2026. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong)A sign stands outside a polling location during local and primary runoff elections, Tuesday, May 26, 2026, in Dallas, where election materials and voting information are available in English, Spanish and Vietnamese. (AP Photo/Gabriela Passos)Rep. Justin J. Pearson, D-Memphis, center, marches with protesters before a special session of the state legislature to redraw U.S. Congressional voting maps, in Nashville, Tenn., Tuesday, May 5, 2026. (AP Photo/George Walker IV)Protesters against a Missouri congressional redistricting plan gather outside the Missouri Capitol on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, in Jefferson City, Mo. (AP Photo/David A. Lieb) A no-holds-barred bout of partisan redistricting has been won by Republicans. Now it’s up to voters to decide whether it matters for control of Congress. Republicans could net about 10 additional U.S. House seats in the November elections if redrawn voting districts perform as they were intended. The question is whether that’s enough for the GOP to hold on to a majority in the chamber, where Democrats need to gain only a few seats to take control. Political trends and historic patterns favor Democrats. President Donald Trump’s approval ratings are negative. And the incumbent’s party has lost House seats in every midterm election over the past two decades. This election season already has been unusual. Voting districts typically are redrawn only after a census at the start of each decade. But Trump urged Republicans last summer to redraw congressional districts to their advantage to try to prevent losses in the 2026 midterms. Since then, Republicans think they could win as many as 16 additional seats from new House maps enacted in eight states — Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, Tennessee, Louisiana and Alabama. Democrats, whose counterattack faced several setbacks, think they could win up to six additional seats from new districts in California and Utah. Nearly 145 million people — about two of every five U.S. residents — live in states with new congressional districts for this election. Yet the mid-decade redistricting battle didn’t go as far as it could have. Republicans in Kansas and Democrats in Illinois both rebuffed party pushes to take up redistricting. In Republican-led Indiana and South Carolina and Democratic-led Maryland, new congressional districts passed the state House but ultimately died in the state Senate. The Virginia Supreme Court invalidated new voter-approved districts that could have helped Democrats win up to four additional seats. And the U.S. Supreme Court set aside a lower court order that could have helped Democrats gain a congressional seat in New York. Here’s a look at the states with new U.S. House maps: Current map: 13 Democrats, 25 RepublicansNew map: Republican Gov. Greg Abbott signed a revised House map into law last August that could help Republicans win five additional seats. Democrats think they could still win some of those seats.Current map: two Democrats, six RepublicansNew map: Republican Gov. Mike Kehoe signed a revised House map into law last September that could help Republicans win an additional seat by reshaping a Democratic-held district based in Kansas City. Republican Secretary of State Denny Hoskins has until Aug. 4 — the date of Missouri’s primaries — to decide whether to reject an initiative petition seeking a statewide vote on the map.Current map: four Democrats, 10 RepublicansNew map: The Republican-led General Assembly gave final approval in October to revised districts that could help Republicans win an additional seat.Current map: five Democrats, 10 RepublicansNew map: A bipartisan panel composed primarily of Republicans voted in October to approve revised House districts that improve Republicans’ chances of winning two additional seats. Democrats think they could still win those seats.Current map: 43 Democrats, nine RepublicansNew map: Voters in November approved revised House districts drawn by the Democratic-led Legislature that could help Democrats win five additional seats. Current map: no Democrats, four RepublicansNew map: A judge in November imposed revised House districts that could help Democrats win a seat in the Salt Lake City area. Current map: eight Democrats, 20 RepublicansNew map: Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis signed revised House districts in May that improve the GOP’s chances of winning four additional seats. Legal challenges are pending. Current map: one Democrat, eight RepublicansNew map: Republican Gov. Bill Lee signed new House districts in May that improve the GOP’s chances of winning an additional seat by carving up the lone Democratic-held seat, a majority-Black district based in Memphis. Legal challenges are pending. Current map: two Democrats, four RepublicansNew map: Republican Gov. Jeff Landry signed off on new House districts in May that improve Republican chances of winning an additional seat by eliminating a majority-Black district held by a Democrat that the U.S. Supreme Court struck down as an illegal racial gerrymander. Current map: two Democrats, five RepublicansNew map: The U.S. Supreme Court in June allowed the state to use a congressional map approved by Republican state lawmakers that improves the GOP’s chances of winning an additional seat by reshaping a Democratic-held district that has a large number of Black voters.

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